Ecuador Expats

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Jack Ecuador Abercrombie

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Jack Ecuador Abercrombie

October 30, 2026 12:20 pm

30OCT26⚡️'Ecuadorian electricity system ends the month of October 2026 showing better indicators than those recorded during the 2024 energy crisis, but preparing for a challenging transition. As of No... View More30OCT26⚡️'Ecuadorian electricity system ends the month of October 2026 showing better indicators than those recorded during the 2024 energy crisis, but preparing for a challenging transition. As of November 1, 2026, the Government of Daniel Noboa must fulfill its commitment to end industrial disconnections or blackouts of three consecutive days per week...." Regarding this total climate dependence, Miller is categorical in his analysis: "If it doesn't rain, even if the President stands on his head, there will be no energy. It doesn't matter what party you are from, if it doesn't rain as it is proposed in the system, there is no energy." Mazar and Amaluza are the heart of Ecuador's electricity reserves The current situation of the large water reserves in the south of the country shows a mixed picture: Mazar: the reservoir is located at 2,122.9 metres above sea level, positioning itself 1.9 metres above the area of generalised cuts and 7.9 metres above the critical level of shutdown. It is currently recovering reserves, registering revenues of 71 cubic meters per second (m³/s) compared to outputs of 61 m³/s. Amaluza: the main concern is moving downstream, towards the Amaluza reservoir, which registers 1,971.6 meters. This means that it is 3.4 meters below its minimum operating level. To help regain this critical level, Mazar constantly transfers water to Amaluza. What is the real risk of a total shutdown of Mazar and general blackouts that include the residential sector in Ecuador? The baseline scenario for the coming weeks rules out an imminent collapse. According to Amaru's models, the probability of Mazar falling below its shutdown level (2,115 meters) is 0% for the next 10 days and just 12% for the next 30 days. Likewise, the risk of entering the area of cuts on a national scale in the next month stands at a moderate 24%...." * https://www.lahora.com.ec/economia/fin-de-apagones-industriales-mazar-resiste-pero-noviembre-amenaza-al-sector-electrico-20261029-0039.html

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