A massive narrative shift is happening on the war in Ukraine.
After more than four years of full-scale war, the world is finally realizing that Russia is in deep trouble, cannot meet its strategic goals, and is on a clear path to a pathetic defeat.
The illusion of an unstoppable Russian war machine has shattered. Look at the actual data from this full-scale invasion, which has now lasted for well over four years. Russia has failed to take even one regional capital or special status city out of the 23 that Ukraine controlled at the beginning of the full-scale war. Ukraine still holds all 23 of them today. 0/23 is the worst possible result for Russia.
Until recently, some observers believed that Russia would eventually win through a slow war of attrition. The lazy assumption was that Moscow could just throw endless resources at the front until Ukraine broke. But people are now realizing that this was a flawed calculation. Russia is failing hard, and their capacity to sustain this war is hitting a wall.
The tide has turned, and things will only get worse for the Kremlin from here on out. However, we cannot mistake Russian failure for an immediate peace. The war will still last for some time, and a desperate Russia will continue to inflict severe pain and suffering on innocent people. The destination is clear, but the journey is going to be tough. Buckle up
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