mark szymanski
on 6 hours ago
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High profile mass shooting repeat survivor patterns and statistics: Bondi and Brown University (3)
NY Post Article: Bondi and NBC News Article: Brown University
Weissman was in the next door middle school
How likely is it that three people are present at two separate mass shooting events?
Using national survey data (Pyrooz et al., 2025), about 7% of US adults report ever being present at the scene of a mass shooting at least once. This % rate is generous. Modeling this as random exposure over time shows the probability that three independent people would each experience this twice is about 1 in 63 million.
Even using these and more generous assumptions, the odds remain extremely small. Under a standard population model, this pattern is statistically near impossible and would require strong clustering, shared environments, or non random exposure to occur. In short, repeated presence across multiple mass shooting events is not something that should happen by chance
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