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Hurricane Idalia Public Advisory (Text)427 WTNT35 KNHC 300555TCPAT5BULLETINHurricane Idalia Intermediate Advisory Number 14ANWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102023200 AM EDT Wed Aug 30 2023...IDALIA RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE......CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION THIS MORNING WHEN IDALIA MOVES INLAND...SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...28.3N 84.5WABOUT 100 MI...175 KM SW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDAABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHESWATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:None.SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...* Englewood northward to Indian Pass, including Tampa BayA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...* Middle of Longboat Key northward to Indian Pass, including TampaBayA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...* Chokoloskee northward to the Middle of Longboat Key* West of Indian Pass to Mexico Beach* Sebastian Inlet Florida to Surf City North CarolinaA Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...* Bonita Beach northward to Englewood, including Charlotte Harbour* Mouth of the St. Mary's River to South Santee River SouthCarolina* Beaufort Inlet to Drum Inlet North Carolina* Neuse and Pamlico Rivers North CarolinaA Hurricane Watch is in effect for...* Mouth of the St. Mary's River to Edisto Beach South CarolinaA Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...* North of Surf City North Carolina to the North Carolina/Virginiaborder* Pamlico and Albemarle SoundsA Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expectedsomewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect lifeand property should be rushed to completion.A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threateninginundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For adepiction of areas at risk, please see the National WeatherService Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available athurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Personslocated within these areas should take all necessary actions toprotect life and property from rising water and the potential forother dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and otherinstructions from local officials.A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions areexpected somewhere within the warning area.A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from thecoastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National WeatherService Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available athurricanes.gov.A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possiblewithin the watch area.A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions arepossible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.Additional warnings will likely be required later today.For storm information specific to your area in the UnitedStates, including possible inland watches and warnings, pleasemonitor products issued by your local National Weather Serviceforecast office. For storm information specific to your areaoutside of the United States, please monitor products issued byyour national meteorological service.DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK----------------------At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Idalia was locatednear latitude 28.3 North, longitude 84.5 West. Idalia is movingtoward the north near 15 mph (24 km/h). A northward to north-northeastward motion is expected through morning, withIdalia's center forecast to reach the Big Bend coast of Florida thismorning. After landfall, Idalia is forecast to turn toward the northeast and east-northeast, moving near or along the coasts of Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina late today and Thursday.Hurricane Hunter aircraft data indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Idalia is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Idalia is forecast to become a category 4 hurricane before it reaches the Big Bend coast of Florida this morning. Idalia is likely to still be a hurricane while moving across southern Georgia, and possibly when it reaches the coast of Georgia or southern South Carolina late today.Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). NOAA buoy 42036 recently reported sustained winds of 54 mph (87 km/h) and a gust to 69 mph (111 km/h) in the northern rainbands of Idalia. Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport (KSRQ) recently reported sustained winds of 35 mph (56 km/h) with a gust to 67 mph (108 km/h).The estimated minimum central pressure based on Hurricane Hunteraircraft observations is 945 mb (27.91 inches).HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------Key messages for Idalia can be found in the Tropical CycloneDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC,and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtmlSTORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and thetide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded byrising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water couldreach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicatedareas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...Wakulla/Jefferson County line, FL to Yankeetown, FL...12-16 ftOchlockonee River, FL to Wakulla/Jefferson County line, FL...8-12 ftYankeetown to Chassahowitzka, FL...7-11 ftChassahowitzka, FL to Anclote River, FL...6-9 ftCarrabelle, FL to Ochlockonee River, FL...5-8 ftAnclote River, FL to Middle of Longboat Key, FL...4-6 ftTampa Bay...4-6 ftMiddle of Longboat Key, FL to Englewood, FL...3-5 ftIndian Pass, FL to Carrabelle, FL...3-5 ftEnglewood, FL to Bonita Beach, FL...2-4 ftCharlotte Harbor...2-4 ftMouth of the St. Mary's River to South Santee, SC...2-4 ftBeaufort Inlet to Drum Inlet, NC...2-4 ftPamlico and Neuse Rivers...2-4 ftSouth of Bonita Beach to Chokoloskee, FL...1-3 ftSouth Santee, SC to Beaufort Inlet, NC...1-3 ftDrum Inlet to Duck, NC...1-3 ftChokoloskee, FL to East Cape Sable, FL...1-3 ftFlagler/Volusia County Line, FL to Mouth of St. Mary's River...1-3ftIndian Pass to Mexico Beach...1 to 3 ftFlorida Keys...1-2 ftThe deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas ofonshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large anddangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relativetiming of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly overshort distances. For information specific to your area, please seeproducts issued by your local National Weather Service forecastoffice.WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricanewarning area in Florida in a few hours, with tropical storm conditions spreading northward and westward through this morning.Tropical storm conditions will continue within the tropical stormwarning area along the Florida Gulf and west coasts.Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area along the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina later today and tonight.Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin later today in thewarning area along the east coast of Florida, Georgia, and SouthCarolina, and spread into North Carolina tonight and Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in North Carolina by Thursday.RAINFALL: Idalia is expected to produce a swath of 4 to 8 inches ofrainfall with isolated maxima up to 12 inches from the Florida BigBend through central Georgia and South Carolina, and through easternNorth Carolina into Thursday. These rainfall amounts will lead toareas of flash, urban, and moderate river flooding, with locallyconsiderable impacts.SURF: Swells generated by Idalia are affecting the southwesterncoast of Florida and will spread northward and westward to thenorth-central Gulf coast through today. These swells arelikely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.Please consult products from your local weather office.TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible overnight from the coast ofwest-central Florida northward into the Florida Big Bend region.The tornado risk will shift into southeast Georgia and the coastalCarolinas later today.NEXT ADVISORY-------------Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.$$Forecaster Blake