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NWUS20 KWNS 261755STADTSSPC TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM REPORTSUNOFFICIAL - FOR OFFICIAL REPORTS, SEE PUBLICATION 'STORM DATA'FOR 06CST WED JAN 25 2023 THRU 06CST THU JAN 26 2023EVENT LOCATION REMARKS (CST)TIME.....TORNADO REPORTS..........TORNADO REPORTS..........TORNADO REPORTS.....1 *TORN 1 S ESTIFFANULGA FL (38 N AAF) 25/0734DAMAGE OCCURRED ON CR 333 ABOUT A HALF MILE TAE/LSR 3029 8503DOWN RAY KEVER ROAD. A.......LRG HAIL/STRONG WIND RPTS.............LRG HAIL/STRONG WIND RPTS......2 WNDG 3 NW COTTONDALE FL (13 W MAI) 25/0606POWER LINES DOWN AT 3922 LOVEWOOD ROAD. TAE/LSR 3082 85413 WNDG 4 W COTTONDALE AIRPORT FL (15 WSW MAI) 25/0606POWER LINES DOWN BLOCKING THE ROAD AT 1916 HWY TAE/LSR 3079 854490.4 WNDG 1 NE ORANGE FL (35 N AAF) 25/0736ONE LARGE TREE DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF CRTAE/LSR 3024 850112 AND CR 379.7 G 63 3 E SANBORN FL (25 SSW TLH) 25/0904WUNDERGROUND STATION KFLSOPCH16 RECORDED A 73 TAE/LSR 3008 8455MPH WIND GUST.5 WNDG 1 E GOVERNORS SQUARE MA FL (7 ENE TLH) 25/0936A WWOF LISTENER REPORTED TREES DOWN ON VICTORY TAE/LSR 3044 8424GARDEN DRIVE.6 WNDG 5 WSW HOBBTON NC (30 ENE FAY) 25/1815TREE DOWN AT CHURCH RD AND KEENER RD. RAH/LSR 3515 7839.........OTHER SEVERE REPORTS..................OTHER SEVERE REPORTS.........NONE REPORTEDFXUS06 KWBC 262002PMDMRDPrognostic Discussion for 6 to 10 and 8 to 14 day outlooksNWS Climate Prediction Center College Park, MD300 PM EST Thu January 26 20236-10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR FEB 01 - 05 2023Today's model solutions remain in good agreement regarding the 500-hPa flowpattern across much of North America and surrounding regions during the 6-10day period. Early in the period, deep mid-level low pressure is forecast overHudson Bay with a trough extending into the western CONUS. Shortwave troughingis forecast to move across the North Pacific, reaching the west coast of theCONUS toward the end of the period. Subsequently, the main large-scale troughis forecast to become more focused over eastern Canada, favoring a trend towarda less amplified pattern over the CONUS east of the Rockies. A ridge andassociated positive 500-hPa height anomalies that are forecast over theSoutheast and much of the East Coast early in the 6-10 day period is predictedto shift eastward off of the coast over time, while a ridge develops over theSouthwest behind the departing trough. Today’s 6-10 day manual 500-hPa heightblend depicts below normal heights across much of the northern tier of theCONUS, with the largest negative anomalies across the Northeast and GreatLakes. Weakly positive height anomalies are predicted across the Southwest,Intermountain Region, Gulf of Mexico coast, and Southeast. Ridging andassociated positive height anomalies are forecast across much of Alaska, withnear normal heights favored across the Panhandle due to the aforementionedshortwave troughing moving across the North Pacific.Probabilities for below normal temperatures are elevated across most of theCONUS from the West Coast to the Appalachians and Northeast due to theinfluence of expansive troughing predicted during the first half of the period.The highest probabilities (greater than 60 percent) are forecast across theUpper Midwest. Increased chances for near to above normal temperatures arefavored across parts of the Gulf Coast, Southeast, and Mid-Atlantic, mainly aresult of anomalously warm temperatures predicted early in the period.Relatively cooler temperatures are more likely in these areas by the middle ofthe period following a frontal passage. Increased probabilities for abovenormal temperatures are favored for the Aleutians and western Mainland Alaskaunder a predicted 500-hPa ridge and increased southerly flow. Near to slightlybelow normal temperatures are more likely across the rest of the Mainland andthe Panhandle due to increased surface high pressure over western Canada andgreater influence from the shortwave troughing moving across the North Pacificduring the period.As the longwave troughing becomes established across eastern Canada, anomalousnortherly mid-level flow is predicted to increase across the interior westernand central CONUS, favoring an increase in the probabilities for below normalprecipitation in these areas compared to yesterday. Frontal activity in theEast early in the period favors increased probabilities for above normalprecipitation across much of the eastern third of the CONUS, and also includingparts of the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southern Plains. Probabilities forabove normal precipitation are elevated for parts of the West Coast, asshortwave troughing is predicted to reach the Pacific Coast late in the period,favoring enhanced precipitation chances. This trough may also increase onshoreflow across southeastern Mainland Alaska and the Panhandle, favoring elevatedchances of above normal precipitation in these areas. Elsewhere across Alaska,near to below normal precipitation is forecast underneath more ridging.The official 6-10 day 500-hPa height blend consists of 25% of Today's 6z GFSEnsemble Mean centered on Day 8, 50% of Today's 0z European Ensemble Meancentered on Day 8, and 25% of Today's 0z Canadian Ensemble Mean centered on Day8FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD: Above Average, 4 out of 5, due togood agreement on the large-scale circulation pattern, o