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FXUS06 KWBC 121902PMDMRDPrognostic Discussions for 6 to 10 and 8 to 14 day outlooks.NWS Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD300 PM EDT Sun September 12 2021There is no forecaster message written on weekends.Notes:Automated forecasts are issued on Saturday and Sunday. Occasionally manualintervention is necessary to address quality control and consistency issues. Inthese cases, forecasts are manually drawn but a full discussion is not issued.The notation for the categorical forecast indicated on the maps is the same asthat in the tables: A-above N-near normal B-belowThe temperature map shows regions with > 33% chance of being warmer (orange,"A"), colder (blue, "B"), or close to (unshaded, "N"). Historical averagevalues for the calendar period of the forecast (dashes, "f"). Labels on theshaded lines give the probability (> 33%) of the more likely category (B or A).Probability of N is always < 40%.The precipitation map shows regions with > 33% chance of being wetter (green,"A"), drier (tan, "B"), or close to (unshaded, "n"). Historical median valuesfor the calendar period of the forecast (dashes, "inches"). Labels on theshaded lines give the probability (> 33%) of the more likely category (B or A).Probability of N is always < 40%.In the southwest and other climatologically dry regions - there will be agreater than 33.3% chance of no precipitation and occasionally even a normal(i.e. Median) value of zero - especially during the dry seasons. In such casesa forecast of near normal is effectively a forecast of little or noprecipitation.The climate prediction center uses 1981-2010 base period means fortemperature...precipitation...and 500-hpa heights as reference in the climateoutlooks.Analogs to the 5 day mean observed pattern centered 3 days ago (D-3)for the region from 20N to 70N latitude and 175E to 60W longitudeinclude the 5 day periods centered on the following dates:19790924 - 19790919 - 20020913 - 19530913 - 19870923Analogs to the 7 day mean observed pattern centered 4 days ago (D-4)for the region from 20N to 70N latitude and 175E to 60W longitudeinclude the 7 day periods centered on the following dates:19790923 - 19970918 - 20010902 - 19620918 - 200209136 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK TABLEOutlook for Sep 18 - 22, 2021STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPNWASHINGTON B A OREGON B A NRN CALIF B ASRN CALIF N N IDAHO B A NEVADA B NW MONTANA N A E MONTANA A N WYOMING A BUTAH A B ARIZONA A B COLORADO A BNEW MEXICO A B N DAKOTA A B S DAKOTA A BNEBRASKA A B KANSAS A B OKLAHOMA A BN TEXAS A N S TEXAS A A W TEXAS A BMINNESOTA A N IOWA A B MISSOURI A BARKANSAS A A LOUISIANA A A WISCONSIN A AILLINOIS A N MISSISSIPPI A A MICHIGAN A NINDIANA A N OHIO A N KENTUCKY A NTENNESSEE A A ALABAMA A A NEW YORK A BVERMONT A B NEW HAMP A B MAINE A BMASS A B CONN A B RHODE IS A BPENN A B NEW JERSEY A B W VIRGINIA A NMARYLAND A B DELAWARE A B VIRGINIA A NN CAROLINA A N S CAROLINA A A GEORGIA A AFL PNHDL A A FL PENIN A N AK N SLOPE N AAK ALEUTIAN N B AK WESTERN B B AK INT BSN B AAK S INT B B AK SO COAST B N AK PNHDL B A8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK TABLEOutlook for Sep 20 - 26, 2021STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPNWASHINGTON B A OREGON B N NRN CALIF B NSRN CALIF B B IDAHO B B NEVADA B BW MONTANA B A E MONTANA A N WYOMING A BUTAH A B ARIZONA A B COLORADO A BNEW MEXICO A B N DAKOTA A N S DAKOTA A NNEBRASKA A B KANSAS A B OKLAHOMA A NN TEXAS A N S TEXAS A A W TEXAS A BMINNESOTA A A IOWA A N MISSOURI A AARKANSAS A A LOUISIANA A A WISCONSIN A AILLINOIS A A MISSISSIPPI A A MICHIGAN A AINDIANA A A OHIO A A KENTUCKY A ATENNESSEE A A ALABAMA A A NEW YORK A NVERMONT A N NEW HAMP A N MAINE A NMASS A N CONN A N RHODE IS A NPENN A A NEW JERSEY A N W VIRGINIA A AMARYLAND A N DELAWARE A N VIRGINIA A AN CAROLINA A A S CAROLINA A A GEORGIA A AFL PNHDL A A FL PENIN A N AK N SLOPE N NAK ALEUTIAN N N AK WESTERN N B AK INT BSN N NAK S INT B B AK SO COAST N B AK PNHDL N ALEGENDTEMPS WITH RESPECT TO NORMAL PCPN WITH RESPECT TO MEDIANA - ABOVE N - NEAR NORMAL AWWUS40 KWNS 122120WWP4 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH PROBABILITIES FOR WS 0494NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK0419 PM CDT SUN SEP 12 2021WS 0494PROBABILITY TABLE:PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : 10%PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /EF2-EF5/ TORNADOES : <02%PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : 40%PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS : 20%PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : 30%PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES : 10%PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : 70%&&ATTRIBUTE TABLE:MAX HAIL /INCHES/ : 1.5MAX WIND GUSTS SURFACE /KNOTS/ : 60MAX TOPS /X 100 FEET/ : 500MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR /DEGREES AND KNOTS/ : 28040PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION : NO&&FOR A COMPLETE GEOGRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE WATCH ANDWATCH EXPIRATION INFORMATION SEE WOUS64 FOR WOU4.$$NOUS42 KWNO 121548ADMSDMSENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGENWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS COLLEGE PARK MD1548Z SUN SEP 12 2021MDS STATUS...GOES-E MDS Sector 1 will be centered over 23N/95.5W from 12/1600Zto 13/1200Z in support of monitoring TS Nicholas.Liddick/SDM/NCO/NCEPACUS11 KWNS 122044SWOMCDSPC MCD 122044MIZ000-WIZ000-122215-Mesoscale Discussion 1730NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK0344 PM CDT Sun Sep 12 2021Areas affected...Southeast Wisconsin...southwest Lower MichiganConcerning...Severe potential...Watch possibleValid 122044Z - 122215ZProbability of Watch Issuance...40 percentSUMMARY...A cluster of storms in southeast Wisconsin may maintainstructure and intensify as it enters southwest Lower Michigan. Awatch is uncertain, but convective trends will be monitored.DISCUSSION...A small cluster of thunderstorms has recently developedvery near the MCV in central Wisconsin. KMKX Radar imagery shows alake-enhanced frontal boundary pushing as far southeast asJefferson/Walworth Counties. Storms are likely currently elevatedand could pose a threat for marginally severe hail. The mainquestion is what will occur as these storms cross Lake Michigan. Thefront in Lower Michigan is situated farther north with KGRR radarshowing a fine line structure from Muskegon to north of GrandRapids. Given the continued heating downstream and greater forcingalong with the MCV, there is some potential that this activity couldincrease in intensity after reaching the southwestern Lower Michiganshoreline. A watch is not currently likely in Wisconsin, but trendswill be monitored for a possible watch in southwestern Michiganlater...Wendt/Thompson.. 09/12/2021...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...ATTN...WFO...GRR...MKX...LAT...LON 43338902 43568665 43408569 43148518 42658549 4254867742608838 42778893 43038910 43338902Explosion at DeKalb apartment complex leaves at least 2 people injuredBy WSBTV.com News Staff2hhttps://img.particlenews.com/image.php?url=3RcPyZ_0btuQPYO00DEKALB COUNTY, Ga. — Police say an explosion and collapse at a DeKalb County apartment building has left at least two people injured.Police said they were called to the Arrive Perimeter apartments in DeKalb County around 1:24 p.m., where they encountered heavy gas fumes. Police were able to start evacuating residents.DeKalb Fire Department said there are reports of at least two people who are unaccounted for.Several Channel 2 Action News crews are at the complex working to learn more information as the situation develops. LIVE updates on Channel 2 Action News at 6 p.m.At some point, there was an explosion, which initially trapped multiple people inside. In chilling 911 calls, dispatches say “half of the building is gone.”“It fairly well blew the building to pieces,” an officer with Dunwoody Police told Channel 2 Action News.[DOWNLOAD: Free WSB-TV News app for alerts as news breaks]Officials said several people are on the way to the hospital with burn injuries. It’s unclear if anyone is still trapped in the rubble. Firefighters are going unit to unit in parts of the building that are structurally sound.Heavy rescue team crews are working to shore up the building so that they can get into areas that are still unstable. Firefighters said they are waiting to search at least three units. There are reports that two people are still unaccounted for.Of the people rescued, at least one had injuries severe enough to be taken to the hospital.Multiple law enforcement and fire agencies are assisting in the rescue effort. Officials said there are at last 75 firefighters at the location as well as technical rescue crews. Atlanta Gas Light crews are also on site assisting emergency responders.All the roads surrounding the building are closed. Police are asking for anyone who lives at the complex but wasn’t impacted by the blast stay in their homes.[SIGN UP: WSB-TV Daily Headlines Newsletter]The blast was so powerful that it damaged surrounding buildings. NewsChopper 2 was over the scene, where there was a large crack in the roof and one side of the building with heavy damage.“The entire building received some sort of damage,” firefighters said.Eboni Thornton said she was in a moving truck outside the building when it felt like something fell on top of the vehicle. She said the whole vehicle shook. She was shocked at what she saw when she got out of the truck.“The leasing office was collapsed on the left side, the double doors were blown out and I could hear a lady screaming her head off,” Thornton said.Thornton said she saw a couple people limping and bleeding and being carried out of the rubble.This is the second explosion at a Dunwoody apartment building in less than a year. Two people were injured in a fire and explosion at the Dunwoody Village apartments last December just before Christmas.©2021 Cox Media GroupBREAKING! Explosion reported at apartment complex in Atlanta’s northern suburb.Emergency crews are now on scene of a large explosion at the Arrive Apartments. Footage shows extensive damage and people running from the building.Police confirm multiple injuriesWhat’s known:- Utilities report strong gas odor before explosion- Police arrive and begin evacuations- Explosion occurs during evacuation, causing damage to buildings in a 1-mile radius- Multiple people trapped.