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WTNT81 KNHC 131509TCVAT1FRED WATCH/WARNING ADVISORY NUMBER 16NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL0620211109 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2021.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FREDCAUTION...THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OFTROPICAL CYCLONE WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEETHE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORTHE PRECISE LATERAL EXTENT OF WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THECOAST...AS WELL AS THE APPROXIMATE LATERAL EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHESAND WARNINGS. THE PRECISE EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGSCAN BE FOUND IN THE NWS NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE HAZARDGRIDS.FLZ076>078-132315-/O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/1109 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2021$$FLZ069-075-162-165-174-132315-/O.CON.KNHC.TR.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/1109 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2021$$ATTN...WFO...KEY...MFL...TBW...WTPZ22 KNHC 132045TCMEP2HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP1220212100 UTC FRI AUG 13 2021THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 112.9W AT 13/2100ZPOSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NMPRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MBEYE DIAMETER 20 NMMAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.34 KT.......100NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 90SW 150NW.WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICALMILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 112.9W AT 13/2100ZAT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 112.3WFORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.2N 114.6WMAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.9N 116.9WMAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.2N 119.2WMAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.1N 121.3WMAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.7N 123.3WMAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.34 KT... 80NE 60SE 70SW 80NW.FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.2N 125.2WMAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.34 KT... 80NE 60SE 70SW 80NW.EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NMON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAYOUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 17.9N 129.0WMAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 19.0N 133.0WMAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 112.9WNEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z$$FORECASTER PAPIN/BRENNANMajor Hurricane Linda 2021Last Modified: 2021-08-13 21:00 UTCHurricane Linda 2021Linda 2021Linda has become an impressive looking hurricane this afternoon (August 13). The eye that first became evident on geostationary satellite imagery this morning has continued to clear out and warm while the surrounding cold convection associated with the eyewall wraps around the eye. The convective structure on microwave imagery has also improved, with a distinct eye and closed eyewall apparent in an earlier 14:17 UTC SSMIS pass. The 18:00 UTC subjective and objective Dvorak estimates were in unanimous agreement with T5.5/102 knots provided by SAB, TAFB, and ADT sources. Therefore, the initial intensity has been increased to 115 mph (100 knots) this advisory, making Linda a major hurricane.Linda continues to move steadily to the west-northwest, at 300/12 knots. The track philosophy has not changed much over the past 24 hours. A mid- to upper-level ridge currently centered over the southwestern United States is expected to expand westward, building in to the northwest of the hurricane. This evolution should result in Lisa's motion bending left, first to the west, and then to the west-southwest over the next 2-3 days. The track guidance remains tightly clustered near and just slightly poleward of the previous forecast track. The latest NHC track forecast was nudged just slightly northward over the first few days, but is nearly on top of the previous forecast by the end of the period.Linda has rapidly intensified, with a 35-knots increase over the past 24 hours, and the hurricane still has an opportunity to intensify a bit more over the next 12 hours. After 24 hours, Linda will begin to cross over gradually decreasing sea-surface temperatures and into a and drier mid-level environment. These factors should lead to gradual weakening. One fly in the ointment is that the shear diagnosed by SHIPS guidance is expected to remain low and easterly while sea-surface temperatures remain between 26-27°C through 60 hours. Both the ECMWF and HWRF simulated brightness temperatures during that time suggest that Linda could develop a stable annular structure, which often results in a slower than expected weakening rate. For this reason, the latest intensity forecast only shows gradual weakening through 60 hours, which is a bit above the HCCA consensus aid. More rapid weakening is likely at the end of the forecast period when Linda will move over sub 25°C water.Forecaster Papin/Brennan. Information provided by the National Hurricane Center (NHC).https://youtu.be/ryRl_7wAszEhttps://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=-17.14079,-126.5625&extent=70.4368,-63.28125&map=falsehttps://youtu.be/ba5_stmq1bM