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ABNT20 KNHC 162333TWOATTropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL800 PM EDT Wed Jun 16 2021For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:Shower activity associated with the broad low pressure area overthe Bay of Campeche and the adjacent land areas has become a littlebetter organized since yesterday. This system will move littletonight, and little if any development is expected during that timedue to interaction with land. However, the low should begin tomove northward on Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely toform by late Thursday or on Friday when the low moves across thewestern Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissanceaircraft is scheduled to investigate the area on Thursday, ifnecessary. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will continueover portions of Central America and southern Mexico during thenext few days. Heavy rains should also begin to affect portions ofthe northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Please consult products fromyour local meteorological service for more information.* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.$$Forecaster Beven