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WFUS54 KFWD 161817TORFWDTXC217-161845-/O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0017.210516T1817Z-210516T1845Z/BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDTornado WarningNational Weather Service Fort Worth TX117 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a* Tornado Warning for...North central Hill County in central Texas...* Until 145 PM CDT.* At 116 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornadowas located over Itasca, or 11 miles north of Hillsboro, movingnortheast at 15 mph.HAZARD...Tornado.SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught withoutshelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Treedamage is likely.* This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas ofnorth central Hill County.This includes Interstate 35W between mile markers 6 and 13.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of asturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobilehome, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter andprotect yourself from flying debris.&&LAT...LON 3212 9715 3219 9722 3225 9715 3226 97103226 9709 3217 9702TIME...MOT...LOC 1816Z 226DEG 12KT 3217 9715TORNADO...RADAR INDICATEDHAIL...<.75IN$$92ABPZ20 KNHC 161720TWOEPTropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 AM PDT Sun May 16 2021For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.$$Forecaster BrownNWUS20 KWNS 161755STADTSSPC TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM REPORTSUNOFFICIAL - FOR OFFICIAL REPORTS, SEE PUBLICATION 'STORM DATA'FOR 06CST SAT MAY 15 2021 THRU 06CST SUN MAY 16 2021EVENT LOCATION REMARKS (CST)TIME.....TORNADO REPORTS..........TORNADO REPORTS..........TORNADO REPORTS.....1 *TORN 3 E VOLIN SD (13 E YKN) 15/1155LANDSPOUT TORNADO UP AND DOWN WITH A FEW FSD/LSR 4295 9712SEPARATE TOUCHDOWNS FR2 *TORN 2 S ROCKY FORD CO (11 W LHX) 15/1824PUBLIC REPORTED TORNADO ON GROUND. LASTED 5 PUB/LSR 380210372MINS........LRG HAIL/STRONG WIND RPTS.............LRG HAIL/STRONG WIND RPTS......33 G 52 8 S SAN MANUEL TX (19 NNE MFE) 15/1235AWOS STATION KEBG EDINBURG INTL. BRO/LSR 2645 98136 A125 PORTALES NM (13 S CVS) 15/1531ABQ/LSR 3418103347 A125 7 E FORT STOCKTON TX (9 ESE FST) 15/1550SPOTTER REPORT OF 1-1 1/4 HAIL DRIVING THROUGH MAF/LSR 308910277STORM HEADING WESTBOUN34 G 54 5 S PINE SPRINGS TX (0 SW GDP) 15/1551GUADALUPE PASS ASOS MAF/LSR 3182104818 A175 4 W FAYETTE IA (33 NE ALO) 15/1613ARX/LSR 4284 91889 A125 5 NE ROBERTS WI (37 ENE MSP) 15/1620MPX/LSR 4504 924935 G 51 7 ENE TUCUMCARI NM (2 NNW TCC) 15/1639KTCC ASOS. ABQ/LSR 35211036136 G 55 22 W HOLLOMAN AFB NM (22 W ALM) 15/1650MESONET STATION WSM42 WSMR PONY. LIKELY EPZ/LSR 328710649PRODUCED FROM DRY MICR37 G 57 38 WSW BLUE EAGLE RANCH NV (50 ENE TPH) 15/1727PANCAKE RAWS (PANN2)... ELEVATION 5165 FEET. LKN/LSR 38301161914 A200 14 N SANDERSON TX (18 N P07) 15/1733SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT OF 2 INCH HAIL AT RANCH RD MAF/LSR 3035102402400 AND HWY 285.38 G 72 14 WSW PINTO SUMMIT NV (14 SW P68) 15/1744CORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND GST REPORT FROM 14 LKN/LSR 393911618WSW PINTO SUMMIT. MEAS20 A175 2 S PORTALES NM (15 S CVS) 15/1810ABQ/LSR 34151033421 A125 3 W TARZAN TX (26 NNE MAF) 15/1842TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED SLIGHTLY LARGER THAN MAF/LSR 323110203QUARTER SIZED HAIL.22 A175 2 E THREE LEAGUES TX (31 NW BGS) 15/1902WIND DRIVEN GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL BROKE SOUTH MAF/LSR 325010194FACING WINDOWS ON HOME39 G 52 7 WNW DENVER CITY TX (26 NE HOB) 15/1905WEST TEXAS MESONET REPORT LUB/LSR 32991029440 G 52 5 W DRYDEN TX (0 NE 6R6) 15/1921MAF/LSR 30051022025 A175 LEVELLAND TX (31 WSW LBB) 15/1930TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR BASED OFF LATE PUBLICLUB/LSR 335810236REPORT.41 G 53 1 SW SEAGRAVES TX (40 ENE HOB) 15/1943MAF/LSR 32931025827 A175 5 N GRANT NE (27 NNW IML) 15/19552 MILE WIDE SWATH OF HAIL SOME UP TO GOLFBALL LBF/LSR 409110173SIZE42 G 58 6 SSW ANTON TX (21 W LBB) 15/1955WEST TEXAS MESONET REPORT LUB/LSR 33731021928 A200 15 ESE DRYDEN TX (19 ESE 6R6) 15/2015TRUCK DRIVER REPORTED SEEING 2 INCH HAIL AT US MAF/LSR 299710189HWY 90 AND CEDAR RD.43 G 58 4 NNE NORTH PLATTE NE (5 NW LBF) 15/2020HILLCREST EW7235 LBF/LSR 41191007429 A125 3 S CACTUS TX (30 E DHT) 15/2022QUARTER TO JUST BELOW PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AMA/LSR 360110200WAS FALLING AT TIME OF44 G 54 9 NW WILBURTON KS (9 N EHA) 15/2023MESONET STATION CGLK1 CIMARRON. DDC/LSR 37141019031 A175 4 NNE COPELAND KS (24 SSE GCK) 15/2106REPORT FROM MPING: GOLF BALL (1.75 IN.). DDC/LSR 37591005945 G 56 1 NE WENDOVER UT (1 NE ENV) 16/0110UTTP2 SITE SLC/LSR 407511401.........OTHER SEVERE REPORTS..................OTHER SEVERE REPORTS.........3 A100 4 NW AMERY WI (50 NE MSP) 15/1519MPX/LSR 4535 92444 A100 15 ESE RATON NM (16 ENE RTN) 15/1525HAIL COVERING HIGHWAY 64 11-12 MILES WEST OF ABQ/LSR 367810420CAPULIN5 A100 3 W AMERY WI (49 NE MSP) 15/1529LOT OF SMALL HAIL... SOME QUARTER SIZE. MPX/LSR 4531 924210 A100 PORTALES NM (13 S CVS) 15/1635ABQ/LSR 34181033411 A100 PORTALES NM (13 S CVS) 15/1639ABQ/LSR 34181033412 A100 4 NNW EL PASO WI (41 E MSP) 15/1652RELAYED VIA COCORAHS. MPX/LSR 4483 923713 A100 PORTALES NM (13 S CVS) 15/1705ABQ/LSR 34181033415 A100 MORTON TX (54 W LBB) 15/1740LUB/LSR 33721027616 A100 GARDENDALE TX (11 WNW MAF) 15/1741SOCIAL MEDIA VIDEO OF HAIL UP TO QUARTERS. MAF/LSR 32021023717 A100 EUREKA NV (1 SE P68) 15/1742LKN/LSR 39501159518 A100 4 S CASTLEWOOD CANYON CO (31 N COS) 15/1805REPORT VIA SPOTTER NETWORK. ROADS COMPLETELY BOU/LSACUS11 KWNS 161827SWOMCDSPC MCD 161827MOZ000-KSZ000-162000-Mesoscale Discussion 0635NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK0127 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021Areas affected...eastern Kansas western MissouriConcerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikelyValid 161827Z - 162000ZProbability of Watch Issuance...20 percentSUMMARY...A few strong/severe thunderstorms may develop thisafternoon along and south of an outflow boundary across the KansasMissouri border. Damaging wind gusts and hail will be possible.DISCUSSION...1800 UTC RADAR observation showed a poorly organizedcluster of thunderstorm across portions of eastern Kansas andwestern Missouri ahead of an MCV across central Oklahoma. To thesouth of the ongoing complex, a well defined outflow boundary wasobserved in the vicinity of the Kansas City Metro. A fewthunderstorms have developed along and south of this boundary withinthe last half hour. Visible satellite and surface data show clearingand warming are ongoing to the south and east of these storms acrosssouthern Missouri and northwest Arkansas. Airmass recovery fromearlier cloud cover appears to be underway with surface temperaturesand dewpoints in the low 70s and low 60s F respectively contributingto 1000-1500 J/kg of MLCAPE from SPC mesoanalysis.Primary uncertainty revolves around the limited potential forconvective organization given weak mid and upper-level flow. Someincrease in the weak bulk-shear profile (currently < 25 kts) ispossible as the MCV across Oklahoma spreads northeastward over thenext couple of hours. The main severe threat with storms throughthis afternoon will be damaging winds, but some potential fornear-severe hail will remain possible given mid-level lapse ratesaround 7 C/km. Convective trends will be monitored, but uncertaintyon storm organization suggests a weather watch is unlikely...Lyons/Guyer.. 05/16/2021...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...LAT...LON 38759510 39249390 39299282 39259219 38829173 3802916137639202 37149312 37209553 37369599 38069621 38759510