Yesterday, russian president Vladimir Poo-tin held several meetings in various compositions and formats, most of the communication took place via video link. The main issue discussed was the need for mobilization. Poo-tin is a supporter of mobilization, and only the constant recommendations of a number of people in his entourage, including from among the leaders of the military and power blocs, plus Poo-tin’s pathological indecision, did not allow martial law to be introduced and mobilization to be announced this spring and summer.
Experts from the Security Council of the russian federation warned Poo-tin in their reports about the expediency of conducting mobilization with a deadline of July 15 and warned of a complete loss of effectiveness of mobilization after this deadline.
Yesterday, the president was presented with a new report from this group of experts, which speaks of the dangerous consequences of mobilization at the present time, and among the consequences of this event in the medium term, civil war and the collapse of the country are indicated. The experts also confirmed the fear of losing control over some areas of the Bryansk, Kursk, Belgorod, Voronezh and Rostov regions, which had previously been warned and advised to take immediate action.
Considering that yesterday the governor of the Belgorod region asked Poo-tin to allow the evacuation of at least the border areas of the region, it seems that the recommended measures are already too late.
Yesterday Poo-tin was dissuaded from carrying out the mobilization by almost everyone with whom he spoke. The leadership of the power bloc is against mobilization, fearing, firstly, protest moods on this occasion, and secondly, in the event of the defeat of Russia, a huge number of armed people who will consider themselves betrayed by the country's leadership. Part of the leadership of the military bloc also considers the mobilization a belated decision and honestly says that it is already pointless to carry it out. Putin himself has not yet made a decision, but is going to make a decision in the near future.
Poo-tin’s entourage assesses the conditions and possibilities of holding the territories occupied in Ukraine differently, the majority understands that sooner or later, they will have to leave, and it is better to motivate this with a “gesture of goodwill” or agreements with the Ukrainian side than to flee or be defeated. Poo-tin himself still hopes for victory, and is probably ready to bury the country with him.
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