Jenny Vault
on February 8, 2021
15 views
'Cases'
"Despite Gov. DeWine downplaying the massive drop in cases over the last couple of months - an increase and drop that has not corresponded to any change in behavior of the citizens or businesses in Ohio, but rather the result of viral seasonality (as evidenced by the exact same trends occurring across the country and across the world) - we have actually reached a pretty incredible milestone recently - one that should be highly celebrated.
As of two weeks ago, when we can be comfortable about the stability of the case data, we have dropped to the same number of 'cases' as we had on October 31st just as our spike in cases was taking off in the fall.
But that's not the whole story. October 31st also marked the last day that the State of Ohio followed the EUA (emergency use authorization) documentation, FDA warnings and CDC guidance on the use of antigen tests. All three declare unequivocally that positive antigen test results should not be considered a case unless the individual exhibited symptoms or had an epidemiologic link to a confirmed case of C?VID or is confirmed by a PCR test within 2 days.
The result? On October 31st there were 3357 'cases', 306 (9.1%) of which were 'probable.' On January 23rd, there were 3459 'cases', 952 (27.5%) of which were probable. See the attached graphic to see in more detail.
Even with the inflation of cases by using inappropriately used antigen tests, 'cases' have fallen, and are continuing to fall. There has been no concurrent change in behavior that would support continued restrictions on the general public. Gov. DeWine should right now be clearly laying out the framework for how we end the unnecessarily destructive restrictions as soon as possible. It is evident we have not overtaxed our health systems as was feared, and we never will."
- Kathryn Huwig, Understanding Ohio C?VID-19 Data
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